Mistakes: How They Have Happened and How Some Might Be AvoidedNick Gardner, 2007年3月30日 - 330 頁 A multidisciplinary examination of avoidable mistakes and their causes, drawing upon contributions from media analysis, political theory, forecasting technology and neuropsychology |
內容
Mistakes | 4 |
Media misinformation | |
Politics 61 | |
Forecasts 117 | |
Misinterpretation 143 | |
Decision making 173 | |
Some instructive mistakes 205 | |
Avoidance 245 | |
Solutions to the inference | |
常見字詞
accepted adopted aeroplane aircraft American analysis Andrew Marr appears Argentina attack attempt availability heuristic avoid behaviour believed bias brain Britain British campaign cause cent century Chapter claimed Commission companies concerning consequences contributed cost crime death decision-making decisions economic editors effect error estimate ethnic evidence example experiments fact factors failure fallacy forecasting further government’s growth headline human Hutu ideologies increase influence information cascades intentions James Surowiecki Jared Diamond Journal journalists judgement known Minister misinformation misinterpretation mistakes MMR vaccine mobile phones myths Nigel Lawson organisation outcome party political politicians polls population possible precautionary principle pressure probability problem programme proposed question responsible result risk Rwanda Sally Clark selection Srebrenica statistics story strategy subconscious subjects subsequent taken techniques television tendency term Tutsi United Nations Wisdom of Crowds