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CHAPTER IV.

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GERMANY.-Roman Catholic Petition-Opening of the German Parliament-Royal

Marriages-Prince Bismarck on the Eastern Question-The Budget-Resigna-

tion of the Finance Minister-Railway Scheme-Resignation of the Commerce

Minister-Attempt on the Emperor's Life-Betrothals-Anti-Socialist Bill—

Closing of the Reichstag-Resignation of the Minister of Public Worship—

Enquiry into the Tobacco Tax-Second Attack on the Emperor-Dissolution

of Parliament-Measure of Repression in Berlin-The Pope and the Crown

Prince-The Elections-New Anti-Socialist Bill-Dr. Virchow on the Chan-

cellor-Debates on the Socialist Bill-Imperial Visit to Cologne-Opening of the

Prussian Diet-Prussian Budget-The New Law in Berlin-Negotiations with

Rome--Prince Bismarck on Protection. AUSTRIA-HUNGARY.-The Eastern

Question-Revenue Returns-The Parliaments-Grant of Six Millions-Par-

liamentary Discussion-Death of Archduke Charles-The Budget-Herr Tisza

and Count Andrassy on the Eastern Question-Hungarian Quota-Collection

of Troops-Closing of the Hungarian Diet-Resignation of Austrian Ministers

tendered-The Occupation of Bosnia and Herzegovina-Mobilisation-Pro-

clamation to the Inhabitants-War in the Provinces-Hadji Lodja-Hungarian

Elections-Austrian Advance-Engagements and Victories-Operations on

the Save-Collapse of the Resistance-Ministerial Crisis-Turkish Circular

and Austrian Reply-Opening of the Parliaments-Amnesty to the Insurgents

-Debates on the Address-Outrages in Pesth-Occupation Expenses-Com-

mercial Treaty with Germany.

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Liberal Speakers before the Opening of Parliament-Lord Lawrence on the North-Western Frontier of India-Parliament Opened, Jan. 17-The Queen's Speech-Debates on the Address-Speeches outside-Supplementary Estimate -Proposal of Mediation-Motion on Indian Famines-English Fleet ordered to the Dardanelles-Resignation of Lords Derby and Carnarvon-Resignation of the former withdrawn-Demand for a Vote of Six Millions-Russian Outline of Basis of Peace-Debate on the Vote-Mr. Forster's Amendment- The Armistice-Thursday, Feb. 7-War Panic-Excitement in the House-Withdrawal of the Amendment-Vote of the Six Millions-Naval and Military Preparations-Debate on Household Suffrage-Army Estimates-Treaty of San Stefano signed-Speeches in the Lords-Disagreement with Russia about the Congress-Text of the Treaty-Navy Estimates-Refusal of Russia of the English Demand-Calling out of the Reserves-Resignation of Lord Derby -Mr. Gladstone on the Situation.

DURING the unusually short time which this year preceded the opening of Parliament, summoned to set the mind of the country at rest on the rumours of war abroad, and of dissensions in the Cabinet at home, the strong feeling in favour of neutrality and peace was expressed everywhere. The Liberal leaders were unanimous enough on this point, though they had not many signs to give of the missing "Liberal programme" which seemed wanting to consolidate the party. Sir Henry James, at Taunton, illustrated the attitude of the Government by describing how a farmer was defended, for shooting a boy who stole his cherries, on the plea that he only meant to fire in the air and frighten him, and the judge thus summed up :-" The prisoner shot at nothing and missed it." That was what the country feared with respect to the action of the Government-that her policy towards Russia might be some day correctly described as shooting at nothing and missing it. But, though Sir Henry James would not allow Russia to take possession of the Suez Canal, or, apparently, to occupy Con

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stantinople permanently, he saw no cause at present for war. Russia demanded the destruction of the fortresses of the Quadrilateral, he would remit that question to the consideration of the European Powers. If she asked the opening of the Dardanelles, under proper regulations, he would accord it; but he suggested that many Russian statesmen would think Russia had more to lose than to gain by opening the Straits to the ships-of-war of all nations.

Mr. Forster, at Bradford, advocated a policy even more precise and vigorous than Sir Henry James. He held that there was no danger of Russia's taking Constantinople; but if any such danger there was, it was even more the business of Germany and Austria than of England to prevent it. Prince Bismarck had said that no Pomeranian ploughman ought to risk his life in this quarrel— probably because he knew that Constantinople was in no danger; but whether that were so or not, certainly no Bradford artisan or Dorsetshire labourer should risk his life for this cause, if the Pomeranian ploughmen were held excused from all responsibility for it. In other words, though Europe might properly unite to forbid a Russian occupation of Constantinople, it was no duty of England's, acting alone. Again, as to the Dardanelles, it was no duty of ours to shut them up on our own behalf only. How could we reasonably say, "Our ships shall always have a right of passage through the artificial strait of Suez, but Russian ships shall never have any similar right of passage through the natural strait of the Bosphorus"? "If we take that ground," said Mr. Forster, should have no support from any Power in Europe." He would go to war, he said, even in a time of commercial distress, to discharge the duty of England; but it was not, and could not be, the duty of England to defeat Russia in order that we might make ourselves responsible once more for Turkish tyranny. There were no efforts within the pale of the Constitution which he would not make to preserve his country" from this calamity and crime."

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Sir William Harcourt, at Oxford, was neither quite so strong nor quite so much in earnest as Mr. Forster, and his position on both the Dardanelles question and the Constantinople question was a little ambiguous, except that on neither did he expect Russia to ask what was commonly expected; but his speech was very able, and in parts of it he was very eloquent. He quoted Lord Derby's repeated warning that Great Britain would not interfere to save Turkey from her fate; then showed how our Ambassador at Constantinople, Sir Henry Eliot, had argued that, though we should never interfere simply for such an end as that, we might properly shield Turkey on grounds of self-interest, even though the alliance of a half-barbarous Power involved the occasional massacre of 10,000 or even 20,000 persons; and he recalled to his audience how warmly Great Britain had repudiated and execrated that doctrine, the moment it was advanced. He then proceeded :-" If we are to go to war for Turkey as the ally of Turkey, I suppose

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