Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, USA, 2007年1月4日 - 338 頁 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies.Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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第 1 到 3 筆結果,共 38 筆
第 23 頁
... live , that increase in information means that we will find that there is almost always more than one cause of any ... live with it . Are you prepared to live with uncertainty about which values you hold most dear , which ethical ...
... live , that increase in information means that we will find that there is almost always more than one cause of any ... live with it . Are you prepared to live with uncertainty about which values you hold most dear , which ethical ...
第 170 頁
... live a long life . Although that can hardly be doubted , it will serve the reader well if she or he keeps in mind this fundamental difference in these two strategies , observes how they are being employed , and takes seriously the ...
... live a long life . Although that can hardly be doubted , it will serve the reader well if she or he keeps in mind this fundamental difference in these two strategies , observes how they are being employed , and takes seriously the ...
第 202 頁
... live in systems of interrelated interdependent ( not independent ) variables , which is another way of indicating that psychologists should focus on ecosystems . Moreover , because “ entangled banks " consist of systems of interrelated ...
... live in systems of interrelated interdependent ( not independent ) variables , which is another way of indicating that psychologists should focus on ecosystems . Moreover , because “ entangled banks " consist of systems of interrelated ...
內容
The Central Role of Human Judgment | 3 |
Combating Uncertainty | 15 |
The Strategy of Seeking Correspondence Competence | 29 |
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