Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, USA, 2007年1月4日 - 338 頁 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies.Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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第 33 頁
... concept of stimulus ( psychology's traditional term for de- scribing some input to the organism ) to the concept of an " indicator " is of criti- cal importance to psychology because it heralds a shift in the foundation of this ...
... concept of stimulus ( psychology's traditional term for de- scribing some input to the organism ) to the concept of an " indicator " is of criti- cal importance to psychology because it heralds a shift in the foundation of this ...
第 95 頁
... concept of coherence was a key concept in this paper . The begin- ning is worth citing ; it indicates that the authors understand the concept in the same terms as this author : Coherence in the law is a widely shared ideal . Almost ...
... concept of coherence was a key concept in this paper . The begin- ning is worth citing ; it indicates that the authors understand the concept in the same terms as this author : Coherence in the law is a widely shared ideal . Almost ...
第 99 頁
... concept of “ ecological rationality , " in his book Risk and Reason , he can be found grasping another concept - richer rationality , a concept introduced by Paul Slovic.29 In his discussion of richer rationality , Sunstein is ...
... concept of “ ecological rationality , " in his book Risk and Reason , he can be found grasping another concept - richer rationality , a concept introduced by Paul Slovic.29 In his discussion of richer rationality , Sunstein is ...
內容
The Central Role of Human Judgment | 3 |
Combating Uncertainty | 15 |
The Strategy of Seeking Correspondence Competence | 29 |
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