Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, USA, 2007年1月4日 - 338 頁 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies.Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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第 1 到 3 筆結果,共 49 筆
第 61 頁
... coherence strategy of judgment . That is because the learner seeks the rationale for the adversary's deception , and that goal drives the learner to use reason— Why are they doing this ? What are they trying to do ? Trying to find an ...
... coherence strategy of judgment . That is because the learner seeks the rationale for the adversary's deception , and that goal drives the learner to use reason— Why are they doing this ? What are they trying to do ? Trying to find an ...
第 89 頁
... strategy of correspondence to that of coherence , the threat to the planet from global warming and pollution offers a challenge of similar magnitude . As this threat becomes more apparent , and climate science ... Coherence Strategy 89.
... strategy of correspondence to that of coherence , the threat to the planet from global warming and pollution offers a challenge of similar magnitude . As this threat becomes more apparent , and climate science ... Coherence Strategy 89.
第 324 頁
... coherence competence , 30 , 77-88 , 277-280 . See also coherence ; coherence strategy analysis and , 163–172 , 185–187 bureaucracy and , 81-83 cognitive vs. outcome feedback , 86–88 defined , xvi , 30 farming cognition and , 84-89 ...
... coherence competence , 30 , 77-88 , 277-280 . See also coherence ; coherence strategy analysis and , 163–172 , 185–187 bureaucracy and , 81-83 cognitive vs. outcome feedback , 86–88 defined , xvi , 30 farming cognition and , 84-89 ...
內容
The Central Role of Human Judgment | 3 |
Combating Uncertainty | 15 |
The Strategy of Seeking Correspondence Competence | 29 |
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