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It may be conceded that, as a rule, the consumer pays the greater portion of the duties on these imports; but if we bear in mind that supply and demand between them alone fix price, and therefore, unless a duty imposed curtail the supply, it cannot affect market value, it is quite conceivable that when a duty is raised, and an attempt in consequence made to enhance prices, consumption is at once checked, and the importer, rather than lose his market, contents himself with a smaller profit, without materially reducing the quantity he had previously sent. Let us suppose that the duty on tea is raised from 45 to 55 per cent. The Chinese and Indian merchants, finding their margin of profit reduced 10 per cent, offer less to the tea-planters for the next crop; as they cannot hold, but must realise to meet the next season's outlay, they have no alternative but to accept the best price they can get. Unless, therefore, the additional duty sweeps away all their profit, they will produce as much as they did before,

4,313,039 1,233,998

for diminished production means increased cost of each pound of tea. Some curtailment of supply, from weak growers getting involved, or from shipments being diverted to other markets, there might and probably would occur, and to the extent that diminution in supply affected prices, the consumer would pay and no more. The difference between that advance in price and the excess duty imposed clearly falls on the producer.

So

As regards the second class of imports, the case is widely different, more particularly in recent years, when production has greatly exceeded consumption, for foreigners only send us their surplus stocks, and must sell for what they can get. It has been calculated that the incidence of a duty falls in the relative proportion of the consumption to the quantity imported. Thus, if the consumption of wheat is 24 millions of quarters, and we import 15 millions, the consumer's portion of a duty of 10s. a quarter is found to be by the following formula:

as

tures to the value of 10 millions. It almost looks as if the method of levying customs duties had been specially devised for the purpose of ruining British industries -anyhow, that is the effect it is having on our silk manufactures.

are

With such facts and figures before us, it appears to be almost a waste of time to attempt an answer to the theories of politicians who, to their eternal disgrace, have, for political purposes, so cruelly misled the people of this country. But as some of these appear still, notwithstanding that they found to be in conflict with the teachings of experience, to be regarded as infallible, we shall proceed to show how fallacious and misleading they are. The contention, no longer, we believe, held by political conomists, that "there never was a duty that was paid by the consumer," is perhaps the most misleading, and, from its appeal to self-interest, the most dangerous of all. It is, in fact, the kernel of the whole free-trade question; for if it can be shown that the consumer does not always pay the duty, by as much as he does not do so, the foreign producer, and not he, is relieved of a duty repealed, and to that extent free imports become a tax on the British public.

as great in other countries. But the United States during the first not only has there been a great seven months of 1886, against revival in the States, shown by 72,685 in the same months of the increase in railway traffics; 1885, goes far to confirm Mr. but if we refer to the report to Strachey's report of German prosour Government of Mr. Strachey, perity. During the same period her Majesty's chargé d'affaires at 7300 more emigrants left England Dresden, on the effect of the rais- and Scotland than in 1885. ing of the German tariff in 1879, and again in 1885, we find these words: "Nothing indicates that the burden of protection laid on the population is oppressive, that national impoverishment is in process, or that saving and accumulation have been arrested. On the contrary, the imperial and local revenue receipts, the estimates of property liable to income-tax, and similar State and municipal returns, are symptomatic of fair public prosperity." In another part of the report, he says: "If it be asked what signs there are in Germany of that incipient free-trade reaction which some of our politicians contrive to discern on the continent of Europe-especially in the countries most wedded to protection -there can be no hesitation in replying that there are none. The political constellations of the empire, the highest personal influences, the most powerful industrial and commercial forces-all are on the side of the existing system. The belief is widely diffused that the tariff reform of 1879 saved Germany from a great ruin, and that that empire is now on the road to industrial greatness, perhaps to the successsion of that hegemony which Great Britain, it is thought, now with difficulty holds in her hands. Protection is in the national air, and it will not be dissipated by foreign arguments." The fact that only 46,818 emigrants left Germany for

not

It must be carefully kept in view that there are two distinct classes of imports: 1. Those which do not come into competition with British products; 2. Those which directly do so. At the threshold we are confronted with this curious anomaly that free-trading England, at the present day, levies from import duties more than any other nation in Europe.1 The

1 Why this country selects for the purpose of taxation only imports which do not come into competition with her products, is inexplicable. It cannot be because she regards these as luxuries; for she annually admits free silk manufac

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It may be conceded that, as a rule, the consumer pays the greater portion of the duties on these imports; but if we bear in mind that supply and demand between them alone fix price, and therefore, unless a duty imposed curtail the supply, it cannot affect market value, it is quite conceivable that when a duty is raised, and an attempt in consequence made to enhance prices, consumption is at once checked, and the importer, rather than lose his market, contents himself with a smaller profit, without materially reducing the quantity he had previously sent. Let us suppose that the duty on tea is raised from 45 to 55 per cent. The Chinese and Indian merchants, finding their margin of profit reduced 10 per cent, offer less to the tea-planters for the next crop; as they cannot hold, but must realise to meet the next season's outlay, they have no alternative but to accept the best price they can get. Unless, therefore, the additional duty sweeps away all their profit, they will produce as much as they did before,

4,313,039 1,233,998

for diminished production means increased cost of each pound of tea. Some curtailment of supply, from weak growers getting involved, or from shipments being diverted to other markets, there might and probably would occur, and to the extent that diminution in supply affected prices, the consumer would pay and no more. The difference between that advance in price and the excess duty imposed clearly falls on the producer.

As regards the second class of imports, the case is widely different, more particularly in recent years, when production has So greatly exceeded consumption, for foreigners only send us their surplus stocks, and must sell for what they can get. It has been calculated that the incidence of a duty falls in the relative proportion of the consumption to the quantity imported. Thus, if the consumption of wheat is 24 millions of quarters, and we import 15 millions, the consumer's portion of a duty of 10s. a quarter is found to be by the following formula:

as

tures to the value of 10 millions. It almost looks as if the method of levying customs duties had been specially devised for the purpose of ruining British industries -anyhow, that is the effect it is having on our silk manufactures.

24 millions, the consumption, is to 15 millions, the quantity imported, so is 10s. to 6s. 3d.

But even this amount would not fall to be paid by him. The imposition of a 10s. duty would cause a fall in price in the countries which send us wheat, a rise in prices here in anticipation of smaller supplies, and an increase in wheatcultivation, especially if the revenue derived from the duty were applied to relieving agriculture of a portion of the taxation it now has to bear. This increase in home production would in some measure make up for the shorter supplies from abroad; and to the extent it did so, it would check the rise in value. The fact stated by Mr Harris, that after the repeal of the Corn Laws there was a sudden advance in the price of land in near corn-growing countries, shows they felt the repeal had relieved them, in whole or in part, of a burden they had previously paid. If it be true that a duty is always paid by the consumer, and that it is iniquitous to tax the people's food, on what principle is every quarter of wheat grown in this country made to contribute to the revenue 3s. 6d. ? If the consumer pays in the one case, he must pay in the other; and if, as Mr Gladstone so absurdly contended in Edinburgh, a duty of 5s. would raise the price all round 5s., it inevitably follows wheat is in this country to-day 3s. 6d. dearer than, but for the tax, it otherwise would be. In the name of common-sense, why don't we take it off the land and put it on imported grain?

increased cost of home, and decreased cost of foreign production. Let us take, for instance, pianos, which come largely from Germany. We shall suppose a manufacturer to have turned out 500 pianos annually, for which, before it was invaded by those of German make, he had found a ready sale in the home market. He no longer does so, and has, in consequence, to reduce his production to 350. As his rent, taxes, &c., remain the same, each piano he now turns out costs more. In other words, decreased production means increased cost of each article produced. But the mischief does not end here, for the home producer is additionally handicapped by the rates and taxes he has to pay, while the foreigner, from whose market he is excluded, not only escapes these, but has his cost of production decreased by having the additional market he is so generously provided with by our system. Suppose the right conceded to Birmingham and Sheffield of imposing, as against each other, a duty of 25 per cent; and further, let us suppose that Birmingham imposed the duty and that Sheffield refused to do so. Birmingham, safe from the competition of Sheffield wares, would manufacture not only what she required for the wants of her people, but having the Sheffield market open to her as well, she would manufacture largely to supply it. Birmingham would thus have her cost of production decreased; conversely, that of Sheffield would be increased. How long would Sheffield trade flourish under such It is most important, as bearing circumstances? We have here, in on this question, and more especi- a nut-shell, precisely the position of ally on the present depression of German and British trade at the trade, we should try and realise present time. It is no answer to what our standing alone with open say, the manufacturer of pianos ports to receive the surplus stocks can reduce his establishment and of the world means. It means take smaller premises; for that

involves dismissal of workmen, who are thrown out of employment, the consequent loss, as we shall presently see, of net income not only to them, but all with whom the employees and they have dealt, and a deterioration in the quality of work, entailed by the folly of, at no matter what cost to the country, cheapening everything to the uttermost. Cheap work means bad work. That there has been generally a lowering of that standard of excellence in workmanship for which this country has hitherto been celebrated, is notorious. If any one doubts it, let him read the consular reports. Our contention that the consumer does not pay the whole of the duty, and not uufrequently, when the rate is low, no portion of it-abundantly proved by the evidence of eminent manufacturers in the reports of the Royal Commission on the Depression of Trade -is to those who have been engaged in foreign or colonial commerce an almost self-evident proposition; but as it may not be so to those who have not had such experience, and whose minds are still saturated with Cobdenite fallacies, we shall give a few facts in illustration.

During the Mutiny, the Indian Government, in 1858, raised the duty on Manchester manufactures from five to ten per cent. This did not affect market value, be

1

cause the Manchester production, which had to come forward, being fully up to Indian requirements, the increase in duty did not diminish the supply. When, years afterwards, the rate was reduced to five per cent, again the market was not affected. Here, then, is an instance in which clearly the five per cent of added duty was not paid by the consumer but by the producer.

A similar case is furnished by the repeal of the registration-fee on corn in 1869, but not finally taken off till 1870. As there was no other nation in the world standing with open ports to receive foreign surplus stocks, and asthanks to the load of taxation laid on land in this country-the foreign producer's margin of profit was large, it would be the height of absurdity to contend that his having to pay this fee caused him to keep back one quarter of grain, or that the relieving him of it led him to send more than, but for it, he otherwise would have sent, which is in a measure proved by the fact that the price of wheat rose from 46s. 10d. in 1870 to 56s. 8d. in 1871, to 57s. in 1872, and 58s. 8d. in 1873. Mr Mulhall shows that the average prices of wheat in three European countries, from 1851 to 1880, were, as compared with the United Kingdom, as follows:

United Kingdom, 51s. 4d.; France, 51s. 4d.; Germany, 48s. 8d.; Austria, 48s. Last April we saw the rate month in this country. quoted at 30s. 1od. in France, is a case in which against 30s. d. in the same French consumer did

Here, then, clearly the not pay the

"There is also evidence that in respect of certain classes of products the reputation of our workmanship does not stand so high as it formerly did. The intensity of the competition for markets, while in many respects it has legitimately diminished the cost of production, has also tended to encourage the manufacture of low-priced goods of inferior quality, which have not only failed to give satisfaction themselves, but have also affected the reputation of other classes of goods to which no such exception could be taken. "-Final Report of Royal Commission, page 22.

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