Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 2007年1月4日 - 368 頁 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
搜尋書籍內容
第 1 到 5 筆結果,共 36 筆
第 xx 頁
... president of the United States that the president did have something to learn from him about wisdom, only to get a lecture from the president (Eisenhower).13 As a result of general skepticism that such a complex topic could be studied ...
... president of the United States that the president did have something to learn from him about wisdom, only to get a lecture from the president (Eisenhower).13 As a result of general skepticism that such a complex topic could be studied ...
第 xxii 頁
... president of the world's most powerful nation, described his thought processes by saying to Bob Woodward, “I just think it's instinctive. I'm not a textbook player. I'm a gut player.”18 And when Condoleezza Rice, one of Bush's closest ...
... president of the world's most powerful nation, described his thought processes by saying to Bob Woodward, “I just think it's instinctive. I'm not a textbook player. I'm a gut player.”18 And when Condoleezza Rice, one of Bush's closest ...
第 xxiv 頁
... president, vice president, and highlevel members of the Bush administration. I have resisted that temptation, with the exception of my remarks about Colin Powell at the United Nations. I omitted reference to the others largely because I ...
... president, vice president, and highlevel members of the Bush administration. I have resisted that temptation, with the exception of my remarks about Colin Powell at the United Nations. I omitted reference to the others largely because I ...
第 3 頁
... president, the chief operating officer of the corporation, or the pope will begin with the formation of a committee that was itself constructed following a search for people who demonstrated what others thought to be acts of wisdom. All ...
... president, the chief operating officer of the corporation, or the pope will begin with the formation of a committee that was itself constructed following a search for people who demonstrated what others thought to be acts of wisdom. All ...
第 16 頁
... president Ronald Reagan and French president François Mitterrand). Apparently, right from the beginning, we have been a species so eager to reduce our uncertainty that we are prone to accept almost anything that promises certainty ...
... president Ronald Reagan and French president François Mitterrand). Apparently, right from the beginning, we have been a species so eager to reduce our uncertainty that we are prone to accept almost anything that promises certainty ...
內容
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
其他版本 - 查看全部
常見字詞
al-Qaeda analytical cognition answer Atul Gawande behavior believe bounded rationality Brunswik Cass Sunstein cognitive activity cognitive continuum cognitive processes coherence competence coherence strategy Colin Powell common sense concept correspondence competence correspondence strategy critical Daniel Kahneman demand described ecological economists Egon Brunswik empirical environment example explain fact feedback Gerd Gigerenzer Gigerenzer and Todd Hammond Holmes human judgment Ibid idea important inferences intelligence intentions intuition and analysis Iraq irreducible uncertainty Isaiah Berlin Jared Diamond judg judgment and decision Judgment and Social Justice Kahneman Kennedy Kenneth Khrushchev Lewis’s logic Manhattan Project mathematical ment method military multiple fallible indicators natural Oliver Wendell Holmes one’s organization Oxford University Press person Powell Powell’s preemptive war president problem psychologists question reader reason result Saddam Hussein Scalia Simon Social Policy society Sunstein tactics task terrorist theme theory thought tion wisdom wrong York