Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 2007年1月4日 - 368 頁 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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第 1 到 5 筆結果,共 38 筆
第 ix 頁
... Competence 29 4 The (Mis)Judgments of Colin Powell 55 5 The Coherence Strategy: Trying to Be Rational 77 6 Kennedy and Khrushchev: Seeking—and Failing—to Learn about the Other 101 7 How the Drive for Coherence Brings Down Utopias 111 ...
... Competence 29 4 The (Mis)Judgments of Colin Powell 55 5 The Coherence Strategy: Trying to Be Rational 77 6 Kennedy and Khrushchev: Seeking—and Failing—to Learn about the Other 101 7 How the Drive for Coherence Brings Down Utopias 111 ...
第 xvi 頁
... coherence competence because it evaluates the consistency of the elements of the person's judgment. (Did the person ... competence; you don't turn to logic to prove that the tree you see over there is larger than the one over here, or ...
... coherence competence because it evaluates the consistency of the elements of the person's judgment. (Did the person ... competence; you don't turn to logic to prove that the tree you see over there is larger than the one over here, or ...
第 xix 頁
... coherence and correspondence competence in the critical cognitive activity of judgment and decision making. That is, instead of merely arguing about their ideas, or justifying them by claiming coherence with some grand principle ...
... coherence and correspondence competence in the critical cognitive activity of judgment and decision making. That is, instead of merely arguing about their ideas, or justifying them by claiming coherence with some grand principle ...
第 xxiv 頁
... coherence occupy in this book. Political aspects: It was tempting throughout the writing of this book to make references to the cognitive style—and competence—of the White House's occupants at the time. By that I mean the president ...
... coherence occupy in this book. Political aspects: It was tempting throughout the writing of this book to make references to the cognitive style—and competence—of the White House's occupants at the time. By that I mean the president ...
第 30 頁
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內容
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
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